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Talking politics hurts fundraising, finds analysis of 19,898 Kickstarter campaigns

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Talking politics hurts fundraising, finds analysis of 19,898 Kickstarter campaigns


crowdfund
Credit: Pixabay/CC0 Public Domain

Divisive political opinions are everywhere these days, but entrepreneurs might be wise to bite their tongues.

In a recent analysis of 19,898 Kickstarter campaigns, we found that budding businesses that expressed political views attracted less funding than ones that stayed apolitical.

As professors who study entrepreneurship, we wanted to understand the link between political expression and crowdfunding success. So we looked at thousands of campaigns launched over a two-year period.

We searched the campaigns for subtle expressions of conservative values—”Still remembering that all lives matter, regardless of color or religion and hoping to have made my idea of sandwich shop clear,” to name one example—and more overt ones, like “Drain the Swamp and Defend MAGA Country.”

We did the same thing with subtle liberal perspectives—like “I have become fed up and irritated by the lack of equality and diversity within media”—and overt ones, like “I believe that art matters + and the magic is real. Also: Black lives matter.”

In the end, we found that every percentage-point increase in political speech was associated with a 9% decline in funds raised for conservatives and a 17% decline for liberals.

Our theory, which our findings supported, is that people don’t expect to see anyone sharing political beliefs in a business context. When entrepreneurs violate this expectation, it leads people to view them as unprofessional and ultimately hurts their crowdfunding performance.

The backlash against political speech doesn’t seem to affect everyone equally. Campaigns with third-party endorsements, such as Kickstarter’s “Project We Love” badge, were punished less, we found. Having photos or videos on a campaign page also seemed to reduce the negative effect. An entrepreneur’s prior successful experience was effective when leaning into a conservative, but not liberal, voice.

Why it matters

As entrepreneurs become increasingly vocal about politics, they should understand the potential costs of speaking authentically. Our study shows that funders expect entrepreneurs to be apolitical in crowdfunding and penalize those who express their political values. Although we looked specifically at Kickstarter campaigns, the implications for established businesses, which also seek investment, are obvious.

To be fair, our work also finds evidence that entrepreneurs who come across as more credible—thanks to third-party endorsements, say, or their use of multimedia—are less penalized for political speech. But in general, entrepreneurs should at least consider keeping mum on politics in their funding pitches to ensure they don’t hurt their chances.

What still isn’t known

While we focused on the effect of entrepreneurspolitical speech, a natural follow-up question is whether funders’ political views affect whether they invest in a project. Researchers know that conservatives and liberals approach decision-making quite differently. So we think it’s crucial that researchers turn to this question next. These types of studies will start to provide a more holistic view of how political beliefs affect crowdfunding.

Provided by
The Conversation


This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.The Conversation

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Talking politics hurts fundraising, finds analysis of 19,898 Kickstarter campaigns (2024, September 30)
retrieved 30 September 2024
from https://phys.org/news/2024-09-politics-fundraising-analysis-kickstarter-campaigns.html

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Many Verizon customers across the US hit by service outage

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Many Verizon customers across the US hit by service outage


Many Verizon customers across the US hit by service outage
The Verizon logo is seen on a storefront, Friday, Sep. 1, 2023, in Boston. Credit: AP Photo/Michael Dwyer, File

Some Verizon customers across the U.S. were hit by a service outage Monday.

The issue appeared to knock out cellphone service for tens of thousands of Verizon users. Data from outage tracker DownDetector shows that reports topped 100,000 shortly after 11 a.m. ET—and while that number dropped significantly, nearly 48,000 were still facing issues closer to 4 p.m. ET.

Frustrated users online shared that they didn’t have service in many parts of the country—including the Southeastern U.S., where residents are still reeling from the aftermath of Hurricane Helene. But the outage wasn’t isolated to one region. DownDetector’s map also showed many reports coming from the West Coast, Midwest and Northeast.

In an update posted on social media platform X, New York-based Verizon wrote that it was “aware of an issue impacting service for some customers.” The company added that it had engineers looking into the problem and was “working quickly to identify and solve the issue.”

The Federal Communications Commission also acknowledged the outage later in the day, but didn’t provide further details beyond saying it was looking to determine the cause.

Some Verizon iPhone customers saw SOS messages displayed in the status bar on their cellphones. The message indicates that the device is having trouble connecting to their cellular provider’s network, but it can make emergency calls through other carrier networks.

During cell service outages like this, one alternative is connecting to nearby Wi-Fi. Wi-Fi calling is also a built-in feature on most Android devices and iPhones and can be turned on under the phone’s settings.

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Many Verizon customers across the US hit by service outage (2024, September 30)
retrieved 30 September 2024
from https://techxplore.com/news/2024-09-verizon-customers-outage.html

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Harnessing extended reality to reduce the fear of water

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Harnessing extended reality to reduce the fear of water


Harnessing extended reality to drown fear of water
Credit: Monash University

Monash University human-computer interaction researchers have developed a playful water-inspired extended reality system using floatation tanks to help reduce aquaphobia.

The study, published as part of the Proceedings of the CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems this year, was led by researchers from the Faculty of Information Technology’s Exertion Games Lab.

The research combined a water-based virtual reality (VR) landscape with the controlled environment of a water-filled floatation tank to help participants overcome the fear of water. The results showed participants experienced less anxiety regarding water while experiencing the extended reality system.

The experience involves floating in a tank while a VR headset delivers a virtual auditory and visual environment. The participant’s heart rate (measured using a sensor), breathing (sensed via the headset’s microphone), and slight head movements (sensed via the headset) control interactions within the virtual environment.

The lead author of the research paper, human-computer interaction researcher Ph.D. Candidate Maria Montoya, said people who fear being in water are often unable to enjoy recreational activities in water and can even develop a fear of drowning.

“We believe there is an opportunity for interactive systems to bring people closer to water in fun and accessible ways,” Montoya said.

“Similar to virtual reality exposure therapy, which progressively engages people to face fearful situations, the extended reality (XR) system we developed offers rewards with playful experiences through an entertaining interactive story to encourage participants to be in the floatation tank for increasingly longer periods of time.”






Fluito: the VR game for a floatation tank experience. Credit: Maria F. Montoya

The XR experience provides an interactive journey where the participant is guided through three main virtual water worlds by a virtual character called a “water spirit.” The water spirit is a guide that provides the participant with verbal assurances that they are doing fine and are safe and encourages them to enjoy the experience.

The “journey” in this VR experience is similar to exposure therapy’s “step-by-step” progressive exposure of participants to a fearful situation.

In the third and final stage of the XR experience, the participant moves skyward, and the water spirit guides them to navigate through cyclones and encourages them to control their heart rate to stop the rain and storms.

The researchers enabled hands-free interactions by using the headset’s sensors and microphone to encourage body relaxation suitable for people with a fear of being in the water. This helped the participants to not be concerned with performing any strenuous or complex movements while they were in water.

The study worked with twelve participants who had a self-reported fear of being in water. The procedure consisted of six steps including recording the baseline heart rate of the participants while they lay on a yoga mat before entering the water, floating in the tank without technology and then adding the XR experience with a headset while the participants were floating in the water.

Co-author of the research, Exertion Games Lab Director Professor Florian “Floyd’ Mueller, said the study results confirmed that the XR system helped to reduce the participants’ fear of being in water.

“Our heart rate variability index showed the participants tended to be less anxious while they were being entertained by the XR system compared to when they were floating in the tank without any technology,” Professor Mueller said.

“We hope that our research and findings might help psychologists, mental health professionals, health care workers and other human-computer interaction researchers to explore extended reality as a viable means to develop interventions to manage aquaphobia and possibly other phobias.”

More information:
Maria F. Montoya et al, Exploring an Extended Reality Floatation Tank Experience to Reduce the Fear of Being in Water, Proceedings of the CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems (2024). DOI: 10.1145/3613904.3642285

The researchers are currently working on designing a system to support surfers’ and para-surfers’ experiences, and they are seeking participants for a preliminary study. Please visit their project website if you are interested in participating.

Provided by
Monash University


Citation:
Harnessing extended reality to reduce the fear of water (2024, September 30)
retrieved 30 September 2024
from https://techxplore.com/news/2024-09-harnessing-reality.html

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Ride-hailing apps reduce racial discrimination impact, new study suggests

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Ride-hailing apps reduce racial discrimination impact, new study suggests


uber
Credit: Pixabay/CC0 Public Domain

Racial discrimination against Black passengers looking to hail rides has been a problem since the taxicab era. A new study by researchers at Carnegie Mellon University’s College of Engineering has aimed to find out whether the rise of ride-hailing apps like Uber and Lyft has changed that dynamic—for better or worse.

The work appears in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

A previous study in which researchers requested rides at specific times and locations, changing only the name of the would-be passenger, showed that using a Black-sounding name results in up to double the cancellation rate as when using a white-sounding name. Yet despite that substantial difference, wait times were the same or reflected a difference of mere seconds, and the research team wanted to find out more.

They ran simulations of all the rides taken in Chicago, both before and after the COVID-19 pandemic, across a variety of days. The research estimated that at least 3% of drivers must be discriminating based on race in order to produce the cancellation disparities prior studies have observed. But it also showed that the ability of these services to rapidly rematch riders to new drivers nearly eliminates the effects of driver racial discrimination on rider wait time disparities.

“The technology is mitigating a social issue, which is pretty rare,” said Jeremy Michalek, professor of engineering and public policy (EPP) and mechanical engineering and the faculty lead on the study. “Discrimination is having little effect on average wait times, at least in part because these apps are able to quickly rematch when somebody cancels, whereas with taxis it was a very hard problem to solve.”

“In the absence of these apps, certain populations having extremely long wait times could be lost because it is a hidden injustice where people just get passed by on the street,” said Destenie Nock, professor of EPP and civil and environmental engineering. “Now you can be reconnected quickly, which allows people to get to work on time, make their hospital appointments, and be active participants in the transportation system.”

Individual racism is only one part of the equation, and the larger systemic problem of residential segregation led the team to focus on Chicago—one of the most residentially segregated cities in the United States, which also happens to make a lot of data available about ride-hailing trips.

Even when drivers treat everyone equally, Black riders in Chicago experience notably longer wait times because of where people live, the study showed. Residential patterns in Chicago are influenced by a long history of discriminatory practices, including redlining, and other factors like inherited homes and wealth. Today, Black residents are concentrated in South Chicago, which is further from busy downtown areas, meaning fewer drivers are in the area to pick up passengers.

“One thing that makes this research unique is that it distinguishes between two types of discrimination,” said Anna Cobb, the study’s first author and a Ph.D. student in EPP.

The discrimination types are “direct, like when a driver cancels on a rider because of their race, and systemic, where history has informed patterns in where people live so that even when the effects of direct discrimination are small or disappear altogether, disparities can persist,” Cobb explained. “Being able to distinguish these effects can help inform how we address the disparities we observe in the real world.”

“It is encouraging how well this technology has mitigated the effects of driver discrimination on riders,” Michalek said. “But the bigger picture is more complicated. In a society with entrenched disparities, even a service without any direct racial bias can nevertheless produce large gaps in service quality that can reflect, or even exacerbate, existing disparities.”

Corey Harper, assistant professor of civil and environmental engineering and from the Heinz College, and EPP alumnus Aniruddh Mohan also contributed to the research.

More information:
Jeremy Michalek et al, Ride-hailing technology mitigates effects of driver racial discrimination, but effects of residential segregation persist, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2024). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2408936121

Citation:
Ride-hailing apps reduce racial discrimination impact, new study suggests (2024, September 30)
retrieved 30 September 2024
from https://phys.org/news/2024-09-hailing-apps-racial-discrimination-impact.html

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part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.





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Study tracks traveling population wave in Canada lynx

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Study tracks traveling population wave in Canada lynx


UAF study tracks traveling population wave in Canada lynx
Derek Arnold, researcher at the University of Alaska Fairbanks Institute of Arctic Biology, carries a male lynx weighing around 24 pounds. It was captured in a log box trap near Stuver Cabin on the Tetlin National Wildlife Refuge in 2017. The lynx, in excellent condition during a population peak, was anesthetized and collared. After its release, the lynx dispersed eastward toward southern Yukon Territory. The log box trap used for its capture is visible in the background. Credit: Derek Arnold

A new study by researchers at the University of Alaska Fairbanks’s Institute of Arctic Biology provides compelling evidence that Canada lynx populations in Interior Alaska experience a “traveling population wave” affecting their reproduction, movement and survival.

The findings are published in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

This discovery could help wildlife managers make better-informed decisions when managing one of the boreal forest’s keystone predators.

A traveling population wave is a common dynamic in biology, in which the number of animals in a habitat grows and shrinks, moving across a region like a ripple.

Alaska’s Canada lynx populations rise and fall in response to the 10- to 12-year boom-and-bust cycle of their primary prey: the snowshoe hare. During these cycles, hares reproduce rapidly, and then their population crashes when food resources become scarce. The lynx population follows this cycle, typically lagging one to two years behind.

The study, which ran from 2018 to 2022, began at the peak of this cycle, according to Derek Arnold, lead investigator. Researchers tracked the reproduction, movement and survival of lynx as the population collapsed.

Between 2018 and 2022, biologists live-trapped 143 lynx across five national wildlife refuges in Interior Alaska—Tetlin, Yukon Flats, Kanuti and Koyukuk—as well as Gates of the Arctic National Park. The lynx were outfitted with GPS collars, allowing satellites to track their movements across the landscape and yielding an unprecedented body of data.

Arnold explained that lynx responded to the collapse of the snowshoe hare population in three distinct stages, with changes originating in the east and moving westward—clear evidence of a traveling population wave.

  • Reproduction decline: The first response was a sharp decline in reproduction. At the height of the cycle, when the study began, Arnold said researchers sometimes found as many as eight kittens in a single den. However, reproduction in the easternmost study site ceased first, and by the end of the study, it had dropped to zero across all study areas.
  • Increased dispersal: After reproduction fell, lynx began to disperse, moving out of their original territories in search of better conditions. They traveled in all directions. “We thought there would be natural barriers to their movement, like the Brooks Range or Denali. But they chugged right across mountain ranges and swam across rivers,” Arnold said. “That was shocking to us.” One lynx traveled nearly 1,000 miles to the Alberta border.
  • Survival decline: In the final stage, survival rates dropped. While lynx dispersed in all directions, those that traveled eastward—against the wave—had significantly higher mortality rates than those that moved westward or stayed within their original territories.

Arnold said the study’s findings won’t sound surprising to anyone with real-life experience observing lynx and hares. “People like trappers have observed this pattern anecdotally for a long, long time. The data just provides evidence to support it and helps us see the big picture,” he said.

“We’ve long known that hares and lynx operate on a 10- to 12-year cycle, but we didn’t fully understand how it played out across the landscape,” Arnold said. “It wasn’t clear if the cycle occurred simultaneously across the state or if it happened in isolated areas at different times.

“Knowing that the wave usually sweeps from east to west makes lynx population trends more predictable,” he said. “It will be easier for wildlife managers to make informed decisions now that we can predict how a population is going to behave on a more local scale, instead of just looking at the state as a whole.”

Another key takeaway is the importance of maintaining refuge populations. “The lynx that disperse during population declines don’t usually survive. Most of them don’t make it when they leave their home areas,” Arnold said.

Other UAF authors include Greg Breed, Shawn Crimmins and Knut Kielland.

More information:
Derek A. Arnold et al, Evidence for a survival-driven traveling wave in a keystone boreal predator population, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2024). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2414052121

Citation:
Study tracks traveling population wave in Canada lynx (2024, September 30)
retrieved 30 September 2024
from https://phys.org/news/2024-09-tracks-population-canada-lynx.html

This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no
part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.





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