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Elon Musk is on track to become the world’s first trillionaire—it’s a sign markets aren’t working

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Elon Musk is on track to become the world’s first trillionaire—it’s a sign markets aren’t working


monopoly money
Credit: Jan van der Wolf from Pexels

Apparently, the world is about to get its first trillionaire.

A report from the business intelligence agency Informa Connect says, at his present rate of wealth accumulation, tech billionaire Elon Musk is on track to be the world’s first trillionaire, three years from now.

At the moment, Musk is said to be worth US$195 billion (A$293 billion), but if his wealth continues growing at the recent rate of 110% per year, he will hit US$1.195 trillion in 2027.

The next trillionaire after Musk should be Indian mining magnate Gautam Adani, followed by Nvidia chief Jensen Huang and Indonesian mining mogul Prajogo Pangestu, all of whom are on track to hit the milestone in 2028.

The nearly 1 billion human beings who don’t yet have electricity connected to their homes will doubtless be looking on with interest as the tech bros and mining bosses vie to crack 13 digits.

Before examining how it is that someone could ever make a trillion-dollar fortune, and what it might mean for the world for so much of the world’s wealth to be held in the hands of one person, it is important to first try to comprehend how big a trillion actually is.

One trillion seconds last 31,000 years

A million is a big number: it is 1,000 thousands. If you managed to retire with that many dollars in superannuation, you would have saved up more than 90% of your fellow retirees.

One billion is 1,000 millions. It takes 12 days for a million seconds to pass, but 31 years for a billion seconds to tick over.

That means a trillion seconds would equal 31,000 years.

If you had $1 trillion and did no more than stick it in the bank where it earned 4% interest per year you would get $40 billion per year in interest.

No one needs $1 trillion, and it is hard to see how anyone could spend it as fast as it grew, which raises important questions about how societies, economies and democracies will be able to function if and when governments allow trillionaires to emerge.

For mortals, a trillion is hard to justify

France’s King Louis XIV spent today’s equivalent of US$200 billion–300 billion building his palace at Versailles, and it was by no means his only palace.

Pyramids and sphinxes didn’t come cheap either, but these sorts of expenditures were seen as needed for beings selected by gods and not entirely mortal.

For mortals, some believe that the entire population benefits when a small minority controls most of the resources on the basis that it builds incentives.

Just as peasants spent millennia awaiting their reward in the afterlife while their rulers enjoyed heaven on earth, in modern economies we are told wealth and prosperity will trickle down to us eventually if we keep working hard.

Unfortunately for most of us, despite the wealth of the richest 200 Australians growing from A$40.6 billion to $625 billion over the past 20 years, neither the Australian economy nor the wages of ordinary Australians are soaring.

High profits are meant to be temporary

Incentives can and do play an important role in our economy.

In the so-called “free market” envisaged by 18th-century economist Adam Smith, if my new farming technique or silicon chip is so good that everyone wants one, it is considered only fair that I get an initial reward.

But after a while, everyone else will be free to compete with me by selling similar goods and in turn stopping me from getting an extraordinary ongoing reward.

The problem is that some markets aren’t free and don’t work properly. It is no accident that the world’s biggest fortunes are held by those who have monopoly rights to sell natural resources or technologies that are protected by patents or systems that lock in users.

That’s bad news for those still waiting patiently for wealth to trickle down or to be spread more evenly.

Technofeudalism keeps profits growing

In his latest book former Greek finance minister Yannis Varoufakis describes the world we now live in as one of technofeudalism in which online platforms have the ongoing opportunity to exploit workers, consumers and producers in ways Smith could not have imagined.

Having created digital platforms where the price of entry is handing over your personal details and preferences, modern tech titans use a new form of alchemy to convert data into knowledge that allows them to keep you on their platform and exploit you or advertisers or suppliers in the belief that you won’t leave.

And while there are physical limits to how big a car factory or fast-food chain can grow, there are almost no physical limits on how much money tech platforms can make by selling ads they didn’t make for products they didn’t make to consumers they know nearly everything about.

Restraining profits is pro-market

It isn’t anti-capitalist to want those profits competed away, it’s pro-market.

When the United States broke up J.D. Rockerfeller’s oil monopoly in the early 20th century, the oil industry prospered rather than vanished. consumers and the businesses that had dealt with Rockerfeller were better off, and so was the economy as a whole.

Democracies have, for now, the power to use taxes and regulations to redistribute the enormous benefits flowing to the new class of billionaires (and soon trillionaires) from the sale of scarce resources and the creation of platforms that keep us trapped.

Whether and how we use that power is up to us, but we mightn’t have it for long. The more the new class of billionaires and trillionaires becomes entrenched, the more it will be able to use the political system to protect their interests rather than those of mere mortals.

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Opinion: Elon Musk is on track to become the world’s first trillionaire—it’s a sign markets aren’t working (2024, September 12)
retrieved 12 September 2024
from https://phys.org/news/2024-09-opinion-elon-musk-track-world.html

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Discovery about ice layer formation in ice sheets can improve sea level rise predictions

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Discovery about ice layer formation in ice sheets can improve sea level rise predictions


New discovery about ice layer formation in ice sheets can improve sea level rise predictions
Meltwater streaming across the top of the Greenland ice sheet. A study led by researchers at The University of Texas at Austin examines the flow and freezing of meltwater within old snow on the ice sheet, which can help improve estimate of sea level rise. Credit: NASA Earth Observatory

A newly discovered mechanism for the flow and freezing of ice sheet meltwater could improve estimates of sea level rise around the globe.

Researchers from The University of Texas at Austin, in collaboration with NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) and the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS), have found a new mechanism that explains the process of how impermeable horizontal ice layers are formed below the surface, a process critical for determining the contribution of ice sheet meltwater to sea level rise.

The work by Mohammad Afzal Shadab, a graduate student at UT’s Oden Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, was published in Geophysical Research Letters. Shadab was supervised by study co-authors Marc Hesse and Cyril Grima at UT’s Jackson School of Geosciences.

The world’s two largest freshwater reservoirs, the Greenland and Antarctica ice sheets, are covered in old snow, known as firn, that’s not yet compacted into solid ice. Because the firn is porous, melted snow can drain down into the firn and freeze again rather than running into the sea. This process is thought to decrease meltwater runoff by about half.

However, it’s also possible to form impermeable ice layers that can serve as barriers for meltwater—and divert meltwater to the sea, said Shadab.

“So, there are cases where these ice layers in firn accelerate the rate of meltwater running into the oceans,” he said.

The potential for glacial meltwater to freeze in firn or flow off existing ice barriers makes understanding freezing dynamics within the firn layer an important part of estimating sea level rise, according to the researchers.

Previous work on firn in mountains, which also contain ice layers, found that these ice layers are created when rainwater accumulates, or ponds, on older layers within the firn and then refreezes. But according to Hesse, it didn’t seem to work that way for ice sheets.

“When we looked at the data from Greenland, the actual amount of melt that’s being produced, even in an extreme melt event, is not enough to produce ponds,” said Hesse. “And that’s really where this study has come up with a new mechanism for ice layer formation.”

This new research presents ice layer formation as a competition between two processes: warmer meltwater flowing down through the porous firn (advection) and the cold ice freezing the water in place by heat conduction. The depth where heat conduction begins to dominate over heat advection determines the location where a new ice layer forms.

“Now that we know the physics of the formation of those ice layers, we will be able to better predict the meltwater retention capability of firn,” said study co-author Surendra Adhikari, a geophysicist at JPL.

Anja Rutishauser, a former UT postdoctoral researcher who is now a now at GEUS, also co-authored the study.

To ground truth this new mechanism, the researchers compared their models to a dataset collected in 2016 in which scientists dug a hole in Greenland’s firn and heavily equipped it with thermometers and radar that could measure the movement of meltwater. While previous hydrological models deviated from the measurements, the new mechanism successfully mirrored observations.

An unexpected finding of the new work was that the location of the ice layers may act as a record of the thermal conditions under which they formed.

“In the warming scenario, we found that the ice layers form deeper and deeper into the firn chronologically in a top-down fashion,” said Shadab. “And in a colder condition, ice layers form closer to the surface in a bottom-up scenario.”

Today, the amount of water running into the sea from Greenland currently outpaces Antarctica’s, about 270 billion tons per year compared to Antarctica’s 140 billion tons. Together, that’s more than two and a half Lake Tahoes’ worth each year. But future predictions of how much the two ice sheets will contribute to sea level rise are highly variable, fluctuating from 5 to 55 centimeters by 2100. And it’s clear that ice layers play a key—and until now, poorly understood—role.

“Things are much more complex in reality than what has been captured by existing models,” said Adhikari. “If we really want to improve our predictions, this is where we’re really advancing the state of the art.”

More information:
Mohammad Afzal Shadab et al, A Mechanism for Ice Layer Formation in Glacial Firn, Geophysical Research Letters (2024). DOI: 10.1029/2024GL109893

Citation:
Discovery about ice layer formation in ice sheets can improve sea level rise predictions (2024, September 12)
retrieved 12 September 2024
from https://phys.org/news/2024-09-discovery-ice-layer-formation-sheets.html

This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no
part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.





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Researchers reveal presence of microplastics in large pelagic fish in the Mediterranean

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Researchers reveal presence of microplastics in large pelagic fish in the Mediterranean


Researchers reveal presence of microplastics in large pelagic fish in the Mediterranean - Current events
Map of the study area showing the catch sites of the 49 swordfish from the western Mediterranean Sea, as well as the period of collection of each individual. The image of the swordfish was made by Àlex Mascarell. Credit: Marine Pollution Bulletin (2024). DOI: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.116767

A research study co-led by the University of Barcelona and the Institute of Marine Sciences (ICM, CSIC), together with the Spanish Institute of Oceanography (IEO, CSIC), has revealed the worrying presence of microplastics in the stomachs of swordfish (Xiphias gladius) in the western Mediterranean.

The study, published in the journal Marine Pollution Bulletin, confirms the widespread presence of these pollutants in pelagic species. It also underlines the urgent need to reduce plastic pollution in the ocean to preserve the health of marine ecosystems, and thus also human health, through the food chain.

Marine pollution, and in particular plastic pollution, is emerging as a major concern for the health of marine ecosystems worldwide. Recent data indicate that the global production of plastics has reached extremely high levels, due to widespread use, low cost and durability, such that 6.3 billion metric tons of plastics have been produced recently. In the marine environment, these plastics degrade into smaller particles known as “microplastics,” which can act as vectors for chemical pollutants and pathogens.

In this study, the team analyzed the stomach contents of swordfish caught in the Western Mediterranean during two different periods: 2011–2012 and 2017–2019. The results reveal the presence of microplastics in 80% of the stomachs, the most detected polymer being polyethylene terephthalate (PET), which is used to make bags, films or bottles, among others.

“This study establishes a baseline for monitoring the ingestion of microplastics by swordfish in the western Mediterranean, a species that has recently undergone dietary changes, which could lead to changes in microplastic intake in the future,” say researchers Joan Navarro (ICM, CSIC) and Joan Giménez (IEO, CSIC).

Researcher Odei Garcia-Garin, from the UB’s Faculty of Biology and the Institute for Research on Biodiversity (IRBio), notes that “the results of the work are crucial for carrying out actions aimed at the management and conservation of swordfish in the Mediterranean, and establish a basis for monitoring the microplastics ingested by swordfish in the western area.”

To date, microplastics were known to be present in many marine ecosystems and could be ingested by various marine species. However, very little information was available on the presence of microplastics in large pelagic predators, such as swordfish in the western Mediterranean.

Based on their generalist and opportunistic feeding behavior, these fish are considered good indicators of ecosystem changes in the area. Although the Mediterranean population represents less than 10% of the global population, catch levels in this area are relatively high and comparable with larger ones, such as the North Atlantic.

For future research studies, the team will focus on assessing the physiological and toxic effects of microplastics on swordfish and other species. The researchers also want to further investigate the transfer of microplastics through the food chain and develop mitigation strategies to reduce plastic pollution, while assessing their long-term effectiveness.

More information:
Marco Torresi et al, Microplastic characterization in the stomachs of swordfish (Xiphias gladius) from the western Mediterranean Sea, Marine Pollution Bulletin (2024). DOI: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.116767

Citation:
Researchers reveal presence of microplastics in large pelagic fish in the Mediterranean (2024, September 12)
retrieved 12 September 2024
from https://phys.org/news/2024-09-reveal-presence-microplastics-large-pelagic.html

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Societal factors can shape how companies best respond after customers misbehave

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Societal factors can shape how companies best respond after customers misbehave


waiter
Credit: Pixabay/CC0 Public Domain

From rule breaking and theft to verbal abuse and foul language, one customer’s behavior can negatively affect another customer’s experience. How hospitality businesses can best respond to instances of customer misbehavior can depend on the strictness of societal norms, according to a new study from researchers in the Penn State School of Hospitality Management.

The study, published in the Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Management, found that customers who observe misbehavior in countries with strict societal norms—or specific expectations for how people should act in public—respond better to an apology, while customers who observe misbehavior in nations with looser societal norms respond better to acknowledgements or appreciations of their patience.

Anna Mattila, Marriott Professor of Lodging Management at Penn State; Barbara Atanga, assistant professor of marketing at Johnson C. Smith University who earned her doctorate in hospitality management at Penn State this year; and Lavi Peng, current Penn State doctoral candidate, led this research.

“When customers observe other customers misbehaving, it affects their satisfaction,” Mattila said. “They become unhappy with their experience. This can be costly to businesses, as these customers may never come back. We wanted to identify a way that businesses could satisfy customers who observe these unfortunate instances.”

The researchers conducted two studies to find the effect of apologies and appreciation on customers who observe misbehavior. To survey participants with both distinct strict and loose societal norms, the research team recruited participants from the United States, a country with loose norms, and India, a country with strict norms.

Each study recruited participants via Amazon Mechanical Turk, and participants were randomly assigned to either an apology or appreciation condition.

The first study surveyed 187 people—97 from the United States and 90 from India—and used a hypothetical scenario in which participants were asked to imagine checking in at a front desk while observing two guests in an argument.

The second study surveyed 202 people—101 from the United States and 101 from India—and used a hypothetical situation in which participants were asked to imagine dining in a restaurant while nearby customers were being disruptive.

In both studies, an apology resulted in higher recovery satisfaction among observing customers with strict societal norms, whereas showing appreciation led to enhanced recovery satisfaction among observing customers with loose societal norms.

“Businesses may see the terms ‘thank you’ and ‘sorry’ as interchangeable,” Atanga said. “However, these terms serve distinct purposes. ‘Sorry’ explicitly says this is wrong whereas ‘thank you’ is more subtle and implicit. Businesses should understand the strictness or looseness context of their customer base to use these two strategies effectively.”

In a third study, the researchers tested if violations of perceived norms drive the impact of recovery strategy on satisfaction among observing customers. This study surveyed 180 participants—95 from the United States and 85 from India—via Amazon Mechanical Turk.

Participants were randomly assigned to either an apology or appreciation condition in a hypothetical scenario where they observed two other patrons arguing because one of them jumped the queue.

The researchers found that acknowledging customer misbehavior had a mediating effect on the observing customer’s recovery for participants with loose norms but not for participants with strict norms.

“People with strict norms may appreciate an apology, but this may not be enough to reduce the impact of the norm violation,” Peng said. “This could be why the mediating effect was not found for those with stricter norms.”

The researchers said effective ways businesses can address the negative implications of customer misbehavior is to practice service recovery techniques. For example, apologies—even generalized ones like “sorry for the inconvenience”—or by purposely showing appreciation like thanking customers for their patience can help other customers’ satisfaction with the business when they observe customer misbehavior.

“Saying ‘sorry’ or ‘thank you’ is a cheap, easy way for businesses to conduct service recovery,” Atanga said. “This is also a cost-effective strategy, as saying ‘sorry’ or ‘thank you’ does not have a monetary cost attached to it.”

The researchers also said businesses should train their employees in how to properly handle situations where customer misbehavior may occur. Employees should learn to listen and remain calm in these situations before evaluating how best to act, and to do so strategically.

In addition, brands operating across different nations should adjust and adapt their recovery strategies as opposed to having a single, universal service recovery protocol, according to the researchers.

“Businesses can get so wrapped up by customers who are misbehaving that they forget about the customers who witness the norm violation,” Peng said. “Even if observing customers don’t actively speak out, they still may have noted the inconvenience in their heads.”

More information:
Barbara Apaalabono Atanga et al, Customer misbehavior: The impact of a symbolic recovery strategy and cultural tightness-looseness on observing customers, Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Management (2024). DOI: 10.1016/j.jhtm.2024.06.007

Citation:
Societal factors can shape how companies best respond after customers misbehave (2024, September 12)
retrieved 12 September 2024
from https://phys.org/news/2024-09-societal-factors-companies-customers-misbehave.html

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part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.





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Sharing biosignals with online gaming partners can enhance mutual sense of social presence

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Sharing biosignals with online gaming partners can enhance mutual sense of social presence


Sharing biosignals with online gaming partners to enhance a mutual sense of social presence between complete strangers
Credit: University of Tsukuba

Although interactive online platforms, including esports platforms, aim to foster close connections between people, they often fall short of supporting the creation of bonds between the interaction partners. Researchers at the University of Tsukuba have discovered that sharing biological signals (biosignals), such as heart rate data, while playing online games can enhance the sense of cooperative play, even among complete strangers.

In their study published in the journal IEEE Access, the researchers have identified a method for augmenting the sense of social presence in online interactions through the sharing of biosignals. Biosignals such as heart rate can convey a considerable amount of information about one’s state of being. If one is anxious, their heart rate increases; if they are relaxed, their heart rate decreases.

The researchers implemented a real-time biosignal-sharing platform and tested it in online gaming sessions between players who were strangers to one another.

The study participants comprised 20 gamers who played a set of five matches of a soccer game, each time against a new opponent. The five matches were played under different conditions: playing online without any information about the opponent, playing while viewing a live video of the opponent’s face, playing while viewing the heart rate information of the opponent, playing while viewing a live video of the opponent’s face and heart rate information, and playing offline in the same room with the opponent.

The findings revealed that this method of sharing biosignals could augment the sense of social presence. The participants regularly looked at the heart rate information of their opponent during the match, similar to how they often looked at an opponent’s face when it was presented to them. This effect was further amplified when the live video and heart rate information were presented together.

Questionnaires designed to measure the level of perceived social presence were administered to participants. The questionnaires revealed that although the augmentation method could not achieve the same level of reported social presence as when individuals play together in the same room, the combination of bio-information and face video was the closest to this optimal condition.

In a world filled with online meetings where people are converted into square portrait representations of themselves, this study presents a method for augmenting online interactions to make them more meaningful and fulfilling.

More information:
Modar Hassan et al, Augmenting the Sense of Social Presence in Online Video Games Through the Sharing of Biosignals, IEEE Access (2024). DOI: 10.1109/ACCESS.2024.3429247

Citation:
Sharing biosignals with online gaming partners can enhance mutual sense of social presence (2024, September 12)
retrieved 12 September 2024
from https://techxplore.com/news/2024-09-biosignals-online-gaming-partners-mutual.html

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part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.





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